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Commodities

Getting Ahead of Itself

March 22, 2025 User1 No comments yet

By Tshepo Magagane Gold – is it getting ahead of itself? Inflation adjusted all time high is USD3,800/oz – as QE started, you had Swiss based wealth managers going USD4,000-5,000/oz (the purported relationship with interest rates) 15yrs back post GFC when Central Banks raced to hold interests rates at zero, this is what we were […]

Commodities, Uncategorized

2 Copper Stories: Article on Financing and FQM Head Geo Interview2 Copper Stories:

March 9, 2025 User1 No comments yet

Written By Tshepo Magagane 1. Copper Industry needs to invest USD2.1trn to meet demand My Transition obsession – as I have said, “Africa missed out on Chinese Steel Production demand driven commodities rally while Australia fully capitalised on this to not only build at a national level but to create local capital pools”. 1. There […]

Commodities

Mining Returns

February 25, 2025 User1 No comments yet

Analysed By Tshepo Magagane Not all metals are created equal! Not all commodities are created equal! Not all jurisdictions are created equal! Not all management teams are created equal! You need teams that understand Geology, Engineering, Social, Politics BUT most importantly Mine Finance. Why I will keep shouting about the opportunity the Transition presents for […]

Commodities

Barrick – Low Grade Realities in Copper (& Chemaf/Chinese)

February 24, 2025 User1 No comments yet

Analysis By Tshepo Magagane NB: while on the other side – [Ivanhoe Mines is entering a new phase of strong free cash flow generation, following the completion of peak capital expenditures at its flagship Kamoa-Kakula copper complex] – dear me, he called it right!! 1.  Lumwana – Zambia Low grades realities – Barrick using USD3/lb […]

Commodities

๐Œ๐Ž๐™๐€๐Œ๐๐ˆ๐๐”๐„โ€™๐’ย ๐‚๐‘๐ˆ๐“๐ˆ๐‚๐€๐‹ย ๐Œ๐ˆ๐๐„๐‘๐€๐‹๐’ย โ€“ย ๐€ย $๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽย ๐๐ˆ๐‹๐‹๐ˆ๐Ž๐ย ๐Ž๐๐๐Ž๐‘๐“๐”๐๐ˆ๐“๐˜

February 21, 2025 User1 No comments yet

Written By Denise Cortรชs-Keyser ๐Ÿšจย The global race for minerals is on.ย hashtag#AI,ย hashtag#EVs, andย hashtag#renewablesย are fueling demand for lithium, graphite, and rare earth metals. China dominates supply. The U.S. and Europe need alternatives. Mozambique holds some of the worldโ€™s most strategic mineralsโ€”yet remains largely untapped. The time to invest is NOW. ๐Ÿ“Šย ๐Œ๐จ๐ณ๐š๐ฆ๐›๐ข๐ช๐ฎ๐žโ€™๐ฌย ๐Œ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ย &ย ๐‚๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅย ๐Œ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌโœ”ย ๐“๐จ๐ฉย ๐Ÿ‘ย ๐†๐ฅ๐จ๐›๐š๐ฅย ๐†๐ซ๐š๐ฉ๐ก๐ข๐ญ๐žย ๐๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ž๐ซย โ€“ Supplies 10% of global graphite for […]

Commodities

Mitsui Taking a Stake in an Iron Ore Asset: Interesting Valuation Perspective!

February 21, 2025 User1 No comments yet

Written By Tshepo Magagane Firstly, they call it high grade and taking a closer look at it, this is 61% – so they cant be looking at HBI/DRI. They why pay up this much for the asset Relative comparison – PFS only coming out this year and first ore in 2030…yet they are paying  0.9x […]

Commodities

Commodity Price forecasts – latest consensus numbers!

February 21, 2025 User1 No comments yet

Analysed By Tshepo Magagane As much as they are a fool’s errand, you must pay attention to them for debt and equity models. I am going through the Barrick – Lumwana/Reko Technical reports. They are using this LT price as a scenario, but both projects would generate an IRR at USD3/lb (and interestingly, for Gold at […]

Commodities

Why the Copperbelt is SO Important to the Transition-First Quantum Cost Structure

February 20, 2025 User1 No comments yet

By Tshepo Magagane – Pangaea Mining & Infrastructure Executive [Kansanshi – Copper C1 cash cost1 of $1.21 per lb was $0.08 lower quarter-over-quarter as a result of the drawdown of stockpiles Sentinel – Copper C1 cash cost 1 of $2.11 per lb was higher than the preceding quarter as a result of lower production volumes and higher tolling […]

Commodities

Coal

January 23, 2025 User1 No comments yet

Coal – imagine having a 7bn market cap and you are adding almost half a billion in cash each quarter๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚ Have been doing this in various roles for over 2 decades – it is important to block out a lot of noise – dear me, there is a lot of noise – even some years […]

Commodities

Where are the New Cu Opportunities

January 20, 2025 User1 No comments yet

By Tshepo Magagane Copper – the ore is simply not there and it is going to get worse. And everyone is going “we want PFS projects” – who is going to define them? Why it is an opportunity greater than AI or the shovels that go into it (ie Nvidia) – prospective tenements are there; […]

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